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Vol. I · Oscars Edition TECHNICAL EXPERIMENT · UNOFFICIAL · NOT BETTING ADVICE
Pre-season forecast — the 2026 film year is just beginning. Predictions start in earnest when fall festival season opens.

Oscars 2027

99th Academy Awards · Dolby Theatre, Los Angeles

T-minus 336 days
Empty awards ceremony stage under dramatic lighting
The forecast

Awards season is still months away — the 2026 film slate is only beginning to take shape. Early studio release calendars and director pedigree form the basis for these pre-season projections.

Model
qwen3-32b
Runs
5
Categories
10
Data quality
Pre-season

Categories to watch

Tracking 10 major categories

Best Picture Pre-season — no films announced

Tracking begins with fall festival circuit (Venice, Telluride, TIFF) in September 2026.

Best Director Pre-season

Director pedigree and festival buzz are the strongest early signals.

Best Actor Pre-season

Lead performance predictions require finished films and reviews.

Best Actress Pre-season

The actress race often doesn't clarify until November screenings.

All tracked categories

  1. 01 · Best Picture
  2. 02 · Best Director
  3. 03 · Best Actor
  4. 04 · Best Actress
  5. 05 · Best Supporting Actor
  6. 06 · Best Supporting Actress
  7. 07 · Best Original Screenplay
  8. 08 · Best Adapted Screenplay
  9. 09 · Best Animated Feature
  10. 10 · Best International Feature

Key factors

  1. 01

    The 2026 film year hasn't started — these are structural predictions based on historical patterns, studio release calendars, and director track records.

  2. 02

    Venice Film Festival (September 2026) historically launches 2-3 eventual Best Picture nominees.

  3. 03

    The preferential ballot for Best Picture rewards broadly liked films over polarizing ones.

  4. 04

    Streaming platforms continue to compete for prestige — Netflix, Apple, and Amazon all have awards-focused slates.

  5. 05

    Precursor awards (Golden Globes, SAG, BAFTA, PGA, DGA) are the strongest predictors once nominations are announced.

Curious how this number is made?

Public data sources, a structured prompt, five independent model runs, averaged, published. No human in the loop. No cloud API.

Read the method →

Technical experiment disclaimer

This website is a personal technical experiment exploring AI-generated forecasting. It is not affiliated with FIFA, the EBU, the FIA, the UCI, the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences, or any betting operator. All predictions are generated by an open-weight language model for educational and entertainment purposes only. Do not use this information for gambling or financial decisions. No accuracy is guaranteed or implied.

Consent-based analytics · No paid APIs · No cloud Visits to date ·